Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1190.383387 1348.174639 1522.166769 1728.776838 1968.097955 2237.375092 2564.401998
2025-11-02 967.980275 1183.066045 1441.864058 1778.479182 2208.054390 2742.342375 3464.073541
2025-11-09 837.425150 1075.603807 1379.128056 1798.800410 2371.084246 3134.477465 4247.236377
2025-11-16 743.191333 993.104508 1326.607374 1811.258542 2509.356124 3496.897136 5033.065868
2025-11-23 673.463302 930.743331 1287.891369 1829.760035 2648.660615 3869.118684 5882.286966
2025-11-30 621.435213 884.889111 1263.708003 1861.226258 2804.616090 4279.901660 6850.699096
2025-12-07 557.828489 814.311852 1194.118200 1813.152918 2827.620269 4481.126143 7503.715027
2025-12-14 504.039247 752.361882 1129.943493 1763.912018 2838.857170 4659.188722 8138.774764
2025-12-21 456.243524 694.752159 1066.148888 1706.751710 2827.269076 4792.757508 8709.412573
2025-12-28 438.412465 682.336094 1072.221267 1765.033100 3019.610920 5309.065539 10092.179800
2026-01-04 416.368917 660.854548 1060.948290 1791.367556 3156.646398 5740.762150 11383.068487
2026-01-11 394.462006 637.525350 1044.069776 1805.213721 3270.951254 6142.895715 12684.487982
2026-01-18 373.269202 614.352423 1026.557867 1818.296151 3390.085464 6581.617544 14178.407406
2026-01-25 359.475157 602.869453 1028.623353 1868.490051 3590.011277 7220.147239 16278.398542
2026-02-01 342.817448 584.773809 1016.849722 1890.180343 3733.675343 7759.498068 18259.259127
2026-02-08 326.520510 565.910869 1001.796956 1903.351224 3860.452440 8280.494388 20314.045113
2026-02-15 312.451864 549.952287 990.653577 1922.934521 4003.303695 8861.148449 22668.485038
2026-02-22 301.144103 538.211897 986.449016 1956.242447 4181.111272 9554.945682 25517.202424
2026-03-01 281.275825 508.665283 944.894156 1905.357170 4157.073830 9742.431896 26924.816711
2026-03-08 262.961587 480.851950 904.624657 1853.247494 4123.543957 9900.366600 28283.714647
2026-03-15 245.269423 453.089729 862.401591 1792.771929 4062.376604 9976.371578 29404.952416
2026-03-22 240.902167 451.471589 873.666423 1854.433759 4313.357013 10943.906433 33758.751764
2026-03-29 233.546940 443.279502 870.489543 1882.301146 4481.930821 11711.702287 37660.471624